Worked example · 2024-07
$NEIRO Solana memecoin bundled-launch concentration rug — Solana — 2024-07-27
Summary
NEIRO launched on Solana on 2024-07-27, branded around the broader 2024 dog-themed memecoin cycle (a Solana-side counterpart to several similarly-named tokens on Ethereum and Base). Per Bubblemaps' on-chain analysis published the same day, 80 deployer-funded addresses acquired 78% of the token's supply within the launch window; those same 80 addresses subsequently re-distributed their holdings across approximately 400 secondary addresses before initiating coordinated sells. The re-distribution step is the defense-evasion overlay — naive top-holder-concentration screens would have read the post-distribution holder graph as comparatively flat, masking the underlying 80-cluster control.
The deployer wallet's recorded extraction was approximately $2.85M against an initial 3-SOL deployment stake (~$550), a >5,100x return per Cointelegraph reporting. Bubblemaps' aggregate cohort attribution placed the broader insider extraction at ~$4.5M (11.7% of supply sold) at an average exit market cap of ~$40M. The deployer also moved 10M NEIRO to a dead address after the realised-profit window, retaining an additional ~$1.8M in unrealised holdings against the remaining ~19.5M tokens at then-market.
For OAK's T2 / T3 framing, NEIRO is the canonical July-2024 per-token worked example demonstrating the bundled-launch + supply-rebroadcast + AMM-exit chain. Three structural features make the case load-bearing for defenders:
The 78% / 80-address acquisition window is on-chain conclusive at deploy-time. The funder-graph cluster pattern T3.001 / T2.001 enumerate is exercised here at named-token, named-launch-date scale within hours of mint. A defender running OAK-M04 (Funder-Graph Clustering) at deploy-time would surface the 80-address cohort as a deployer-cluster signature before the cohort exit.
The 400-address re-distribution is a textbook T6-class defense-evasion overlay. Naive holder-distribution heuristics ("top 10 wallets hold X%") read the post-rebroadcast graph as flat. Cluster-aware heuristics that resolve the 400-address re-distribution back to the 80-address upstream cluster (and further upstream to the deployer-funder graph) detect the underlying concentration. The case is the cleanest 2024 Solana worked example justifying cluster-resolution as a load-bearing requirement on top of headline holder-distribution metrics.
The cohort-exit was a slow-trickle T5.002 rather than a single-block hard rug. 11.7% of supply was sold over the launch window at average market cap ~$40M, generating ~$4.5M cohort profit. The slow-trickle exit is structurally harder to detect than a single-block LP removal because each individual sell looks like ordinary trading. The defender lesson is that exit-pattern detection in this cohort requires aggregating cluster-level outflow over hours rather than alerting on per-transaction anomalies.
Timeline (UTC)
| When | Event | OAK ref |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-27 (launch window) | NEIRO deployed on Solana; deployer funds 80 addresses; cohort acquires 78% of supply within seconds-to-minutes of launch | T3.001 (sybil-bundled launch) |
| 2024-07-27 (immediately post-launch) | Cohort re-distributes holdings from 80 addresses across ~400 secondary addresses to obscure cohort control | T6 modifier on T3.001 (cluster-rebroadcast) |
| 2024-07-27 (launch window onward) | Bubblemaps publishes on-chain wallet-cluster analysis identifying the 78% / 80-address / 400-address fingerprint | (community forensic surface) |
| 2024-07-27 to 2024-07-28 | Cohort executes coordinated sells at average market cap ~$40M; deployer wallet realises ~$2.85M; aggregate cohort realised ~$4.5M | T5.002 (slow LP trickle removal at cohort scale) |
| 2024-07-28 onward | Cointelegraph, LookOnChain, BitcoinWorld, The Coin Republic publish convergent forensic write-ups; community discussion characterises the launch as a deliberate insider-coordination event | (forensic record) |
| Continuing | Token persists post-cohort-exit; no regulator action public; deployer / operator-cluster identity not publicly named at v0.1 cutoff | (attribution state) |
What defenders observed
- Cluster-resolution is the load-bearing detection requirement, not headline holder distribution. A deployer-funder-graph clustering pass at mint-time would have surfaced the 80-address cohort as a single deployer-controlled cluster. A naive "top N holders hold X%" check applied after the 400-address re-distribution would have read the holder graph as flat. The detection signal is cluster-resolved concentration, not raw concentration.
- The launch-second acquisition pattern is the cohort fingerprint. 78% of supply acquired by 80 addresses within seconds-to-minutes of launch is the on-chain primary signal. This is a refinement of the broader Pump.fun-cohort / "Rug Republic" detection methodology applied at named-token granularity.
- Slow-trickle exit detection requires cluster-level outflow aggregation. The cohort sold 11.7% of supply over the launch window rather than executing a single-block LP removal. Per-transaction anomaly detection would not flag the individual sells; cluster-aggregated outflow over time is the load-bearing signal.
- Bubblemaps' visualisation surface is the canonical retail-defender entry point. The 80-address cluster + 400-address rebroadcast was identified within hours of launch by Bubblemaps' visualisation product. The case demonstrates that public on-chain visualisation tooling is operationally sufficient to surface this pattern at retail-defender granularity, when the visualisation is consulted before participating in a launch rather than after.
What this example tells contributors writing future Technique pages
- T2.001 on Solana memecoin bonding-curve-then-AMM contexts requires the cohort-exit framing. The Solana memecoin cohort routinely launches via Pump.fun bonding curve, graduates to Raydium AMM, and then exits via cluster-coordinated AMM sells. The single-sided-liquidity-plant T2.001 pattern manifests on Solana not as a thin AMM seed at deploy-time (the bonding curve provides curve-defined initial liquidity) but as a cohort-controlled supply concentration that produces equivalent buyer-trap dynamics on the post-graduation AMM leg. Future Solana T2.001 worked examples should anchor on the cohort-exit pattern rather than on initial AMM depth.
- T6 evasion overlays on T3.001 sybil-bundled launches need explicit naming. The 400-address re-distribution is a generalised pattern across the 2024-2025 Solana memecoin cohort: bundle at launch, re-spread before sell, exit through the post-distribution graph. This deserves explicit T3.001 / T6.x sub-Technique enumeration in v0.x updates rather than being conflated into the broader Sybil-Bundled-Launch framing. The detection-signal layer is materially different (cluster-resolution required) and the marketing-side claim ("look at our holder distribution") is the load-bearing victim-deception surface.
- Cluster-aware tooling is the v0.x Mitigation requirement. Bubblemaps, Solanafloor, and Rugcheck-class visualisation surfaces are the canonical retail-defender tooling. M04 (Funder-Graph Clustering) is the OAK Mitigation that maps; v0.x guidance for retail-defender UX should treat cluster-resolved holder-distribution as a first-class field alongside raw holder-distribution.
Public references
[bubblemapsneiro2024](proposed) — Bubblemaps on-chain wallet-cluster analysis of NEIRO launch, identifying 78% / 80-address / 400-address-rebroadcast cohort fingerprint.[cryptonewsneiroinsider2024](proposed) — Cryptonews coverage of NEIRO insider-trading allegations citing Bubblemaps. https://cryptonews.com/news/neiro-token-faces-insider-trading-allegations-as-bubblemaps-reports-78-pre-allocation.htm[bitcoinworldneiro2024](proposed) — BitcoinWorld convergent reporting. https://bitcoinworld.co.in/neiro-token-faces-insider-trading-allegations-as-bubblemaps-reports-78-pre-allocation/[cointelegraphneirorug2024](proposed) — Cointelegraph reporting on the deployer's $2.85M profit on an initial 3-SOL stake. https://cointelegraph.com/news/neiro-memecoin-developer-makes-2-85m-profit-after-apparent-rug-pull[thecoinrepublicneiro2024](proposed) — The Coin Republic reporting on Solana NEIRO developer profit. https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2024/07/30/solanas-neiro-memecoin-developer-nets-2-85m-in-rug-pull/[chainalysis2025rug]— broader 2024-2025 Solana memecoin rug-pull cohort context.[soliduslabs2025rugreport](proposed) — Solidus Labs 2025 Rug Pull Report cohort framing for the Pump.fun / Raydium ecosystem.
Discussion
NEIRO is the canonical July-2024 per-token T2.001 / T3.001 worked example anchored on Solana memecoin bonding-curve-then-AMM context. The case is structurally distinct from the Pump.fun bonding-curve cohort framing in examples/2024-2025-pump-fun-bonding-curve-rug-cohort.md along two axes: NEIRO is named-token, named-date, with named on-chain forensic attribution by Bubblemaps; the cohort writeup is platform-scale and cluster-aggregate. The two layers complement each other — the cohort writeup establishes the platform-scale extraction substrate; NEIRO is the per-token instantiation defenders can directly cite when explaining the pattern to less-technical retail audiences.
The 78% / 80-address / 400-address-rebroadcast fingerprint is the case's most defensively-actionable observation. The cluster-rebroadcast step is the canonical T6 evasion overlay on the T3.001 sybil-bundled-launch base pattern; it is not unique to NEIRO and recurs across the broader 2024-2025 Solana memecoin cohort, but NEIRO's same-day Bubblemaps publication is the cleanest worked-example demonstration in the public record at v0.1.
The deployer's $2.85M profit on a 3-SOL stake (~$550) is the magnitude-scaling reference for the cohort. Per-token deployer profits at this multiple are achievable when the cohort acquires majority supply at launch and the post-launch AMM leg attracts even modest organic buyer flow. The structural attribution-of-loss framing is the same as the broader cohort: organic buyers entering on the post-graduation AMM leg are the structural counter-party to the cohort exit.
For OAK's broader cohort coverage, NEIRO complements examples/2024-12-hawk-tuah-celebrity-memecoin.md (HAWK, December 2024 — celebrity-amplified pump-and-dump on the same Solana substrate) and the broader Hayden Davis / Kelsier cohort writeup examples/2025-01-hayden-davis-kelsier-cluster.md. NEIRO is the anonymous-operator per-token case; HAWK is the celebrity-amplified per-token case; the Davis / Kelsier writeup is the named-operator-cluster cohort case. Together they span the operator-attribution spectrum for the 2024-2025 Solana memecoin cohort at v0.1.